Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:30
12.5137.8%
X3.2729.0%
22.8533.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
DDWWLLWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Guimaraes
WLLLWDWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.80
Against
6.00
10.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.40goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.80
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.00
10.30
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.60
Match total
6.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
31.30
Match total
30.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches517
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.6%-3.1 pp
Draw29.0%33.1%+4.1 pp
Away33.3%32.3%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.211.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-010.6%
0-19.5%
2-18.5%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.67
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=516.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.9%20.8%–34.1% CI
Draw FT45.5%38.1%–53.1% CI
Away FT27.5%21.3%–34.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.3%
Away50.3%