Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 20:15
12.4438.9%
X3.0631.0%
23.1530.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WWDLLWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Arouca
DWLDDLDWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.10
10%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.70
Against
7.50
9.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
1.50
Total goals
2.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Arouca conceded1.10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.90goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.50
9.60
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.80
Match total
3.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
30.30
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches557
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%39.7%+0.8 pp
Draw31.0%32.9%+1.9 pp
Away30.1%27.5%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.181.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-013.3%
0-012.0%
2-110.6%
0-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.24
Average total9.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=557.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches217
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.9%25.1%–37.3% CI
Draw FT45.2%38.7%–51.8% CI
Away FT24.0%18.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away43.3%