Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-24 · 20:15
15.3217.7%
X4.2522.2%
21.5760.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWWDLWWWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WLWLDWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.50N=10
3.90
Against
3.10
9.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.10
9.00
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.90
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
31.80
Match total
26.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.40
On target
5.70
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.7%18.3%+0.6 pp
Draw22.2%20.2%-2.0 pp
Away60.1%61.5%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

0.962.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.0%
1-211.0%
1-19.2%
0-19.2%
1-46.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.085.88
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Draw FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Away FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away64.0%