Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 20:30
12.6535.7%
X3.1230.3%
22.7933.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
WWLWWLWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Vizela
WDWLLLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.70
Against
6.80
10.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.60goals per match
Vizela conceded0.90
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.30goals per match
Arouca conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.80
10.90
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.80
Match total
26.40

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches633
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.7%36.8%+1.1 pp
Draw30.3%34.6%+4.3 pp
Away33.9%28.6%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.171.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
1-013.7%
0-012.0%
2-19.5%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.894.61
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=633.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches242
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.8%–39.6% CI
Draw FT45.9%39.7%–52.2% CI
Away FT20.7%16.0%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away40.9%