Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 18:00
12.6435.8%
X3.1430.1%
22.7734.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
LDWLLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Chaves
WLWDDLDLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
2.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.30
Against
8.10
10.70
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
2.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Chaves conceded1.10
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.80goals per match
Santa Clara conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.30
Corners against
8.10
10.70
Match total
12.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
29.80
Match total
29.20

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches636
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%36.2%+0.4 pp
Draw30.1%34.7%+4.7 pp
Away34.1%29.1%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.171.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-013.4%
0-011.8%
2-19.1%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.59
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=635.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches237
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.6%–39.6% CI
Draw FT46.0%39.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT20.7%16.0%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.1%
Away40.5%