Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 18:00
11.1085.8%
X9.2310.2%
224.073.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWDWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Estoril
WDLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.80
Against
6.40
10.20
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.90goals per match
Estoril conceded1.90
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.40
10.20
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
6.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.00
Match total
31.40

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
7.30
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.8%91.7%+5.8 pp
Draw10.2%4.2%-6.1 pp
Away3.9%4.2%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

2.790.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.8%
1-016.7%
4-012.5%
5-012.5%
4-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

9.172.17
Average total11.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away30.0%