Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 15:30
12.5636.9%
X3.2429.2%
22.7933.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portimonense
LDLLDWWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLWLWWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.20
Against
5.90
10.60
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.80goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.50Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.00goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.90
10.60
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.50
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
29.40
Match total
27.30
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.00
On target
4.00
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches691
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%33.6%-3.4 pp
Draw29.2%33.1%+4.0 pp
Away33.9%33.3%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.519.5%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.18–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.1%
1-010.4%
0-110.0%
0-08.5%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.70
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=690.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches225
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.7%21.3%–32.8% CI
Draw FT44.9%38.5%–51.4% CI
Away FT28.4%22.9%–34.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.4%
Away49.8%