Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 20:30
110.928.7%
X5.2718.1%
21.3073.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LLLDLLWLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Porto
WDWDWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
7.40
Against
4.50
15.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.70goals per matchPorto conceded0.50Matchup
Porto attack
1.70goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
7.40
Corners against
4.50
15.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
7.20
Match total
7.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
32.10
Match total
29.80
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.80
On target
4.80
5%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.7%8.3%-0.4 pp
Draw18.1%16.7%-1.4 pp
Away73.2%75.0%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS47.9%
Historical average
0.60–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.6%
1-314.6%
0-214.6%
1-210.4%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.33–6.83
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.535.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home20.0%
Away73.3%