Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 20:30
110.928.7%
X5.2718.1%
21.3073.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
LLLDLLWLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Porto
WDWDWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
7.40
Against
4.50
15.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.70goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
7.40
Corners against
4.50
15.60
Match total
9.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
7.20
Match total
7.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
32.10
Match total
29.80

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.80
On target
4.80
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.7%8.3%-0.4 pp
Draw18.1%16.7%-1.4 pp
Away73.2%75.0%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

0.602.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.6%
1-314.6%
0-214.6%
1-210.4%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.336.83
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away73.3%