Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 15:30
11.8950.1%
X3.4527.4%
24.2122.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WLWDWLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Maritimo
DWLDLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
6.90N=10
5.70
Against
6.20
10.20
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
2.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.00goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.50
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.50goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.20
10.20
Match total
13.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.90
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
30.00
Match total
31.10

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.50
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches455
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%53.6%+3.5 pp
Draw27.4%27.7%+0.3 pp
Away22.5%18.7%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.540.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.2%
1-113.2%
2-112.3%
1-011.6%
0-010.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.613.83
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=455.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%33.4%–49.2% CI
Draw FT43.8%36.0%–51.9% CI
Away FT15.1%10.2%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.5%
Away35.6%