Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-17 · 20:15
11.8850.2%
X3.5226.8%
24.0923.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
WLLWWWDLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Boavista
LLLLDLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
80%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
10.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.30goals per match
Boavista conceded2.40
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.10goals per match
Vizela conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
10.30
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.90
Match total
5.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.20
Match total
28.40

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.10
On target
2.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches529
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.2%52.2%+2.0 pp
Draw26.8%26.1%-0.7 pp
Away23.1%21.7%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

1.540.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-112.1%
2-011.0%
1-110.0%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.01
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches172
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%32.0%–46.4% CI
Draw FT40.7%33.6%–48.2% CI
Away FT20.3%15.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away37.2%