Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 20:30
11.1980.1%
X7.0513.5%
214.816.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Arouca
DDWLDDLDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.50
Against
7.10
10.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.80goals per match
Arouca conceded1.10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
7.10
10.00
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.20
Match total
24.00

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
6.80
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.1%86.7%+6.6 pp
Draw13.5%10.7%-2.8 pp
Away6.4%2.7%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

2.750.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.0%
3-014.7%
2-112.0%
1-08.0%
4-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.912.89
Average total10.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away38.9%