Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 15:30
12.3640.1%
X2.9931.6%
23.3428.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WWWDLLWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Casa Pia
WLWWLLDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.60
10%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.70
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
1.40
Total goals
2.30
30%3/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.60
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.70goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.90
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
29.50
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.60
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches230
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%40.4%+0.4 pp
Draw31.6%33.9%+2.3 pp
Away28.3%25.7%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.280.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-012.6%
2-110.4%
1-010.0%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.914.09
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=230.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.5%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.529.6%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.9%17.6%–36.4% CI
Draw FT53.1%42.3%–63.6% CI
Away FT21.0%13.5%–31.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away45.7%