Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 20:30
11.1185.6%
X9.1710.4%
223.694.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WLWWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Santa Clara
LWDLDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.30
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.50
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
9.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
1.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.50goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.20
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.30goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
9.10
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.30
Match total
7.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
28.90
Match total
28.80

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.10
On target
2.50
17%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.6%93.8%+8.1 pp
Draw10.4%0.0%-10.4 pp
Away4.0%6.3%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

2.630.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.8%
5-018.8%
1-018.8%
2-012.5%
3-212.5%

Comparable corner averages

9.252.50
Average total11.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.587.5%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.543.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away20.0%