Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 18:00
19.3610.1%
X5.6016.9%
21.3072.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
DWDLDWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Benfica
DWWLWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
7.20N=10
5.80
Against
3.80
10.20
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.40
2.70
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.30goals per match
Benfica conceded0.40
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Chaves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.80
10.20
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.10
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.80
Match total
27.30

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.1%14.0%+3.9 pp
Draw16.9%15.8%-1.1 pp
Away72.9%70.2%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

0.842.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-212.3%
1-110.5%
0-110.5%
0-38.8%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.986.91
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away61.5%