Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:30
12.2242.7%
X3.2629.1%
23.3728.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
LDDWWLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
DLLLWLWLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.60
Against
5.20
10.90
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
1.20goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.50Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.80goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.20
10.90
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
31.20
Match total
31.20
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches811
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%41.2%-1.6 pp
Draw29.1%33.4%+4.3 pp
Away28.2%25.4%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS48.7%
Historical average
1.27–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.6%
1-012.6%
0-010.9%
2-09.0%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.28
Average total9.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=810.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.525.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches294
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%28.2%–38.9% CI
Draw FT44.9%39.3%–50.6% CI
Away FT21.8%17.4%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals11.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away41.5%