Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:30
12.2242.7%
X3.2629.1%
23.3728.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
LDDWWLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
DLLLWLWLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.60
Against
5.20
10.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.20goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.50
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.80goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.20
10.90
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
31.20
Match total
31.20

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches811
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%41.2%-1.6 pp
Draw29.1%33.4%+4.3 pp
Away28.2%25.4%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.271.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-012.6%
0-010.9%
2-09.0%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.28
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=810.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches294
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%28.2%–38.9% CI
Draw FT44.9%39.3%–50.6% CI
Away FT21.8%17.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away41.5%