Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:30
12.3141.1%
X3.1430.2%
23.3128.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DLLWLWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Portimonense
LLWLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.40
1.80
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
5.90
10.80
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.80goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.70
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.40goals per match
Estoril conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.90
10.80
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
31.70
Match total
26.20

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches780
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%42.6%+1.5 pp
Draw30.2%30.5%+0.3 pp
Away28.7%26.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.271.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-013.6%
0-09.6%
2-08.8%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.32
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=779.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches274
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%28.9%–40.1% CI
Draw FT42.3%36.6%–48.3% CI
Away FT23.4%18.7%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away43.4%