Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 20:15
12.2242.7%
X3.0930.7%
23.5726.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WWLWDWLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Guimaraes
DWLLLWDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.20
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.80
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.80
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.90
Match total
7.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.60
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%43.1%+0.4 pp
Draw30.7%32.1%+1.4 pp
Away26.6%24.8%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.290.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-012.7%
2-010.7%
0-010.7%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.20
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.530.9%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches234
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.3%30.4%–42.7% CI
Draw FT44.0%37.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT19.7%15.1%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away41.5%