Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 20:15
12.2242.7%
X3.0930.7%
23.5726.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Famalicao
WWLWDWLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Guimaraes
DWLLLWDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.20
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.20goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.80Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.00goals per matchFamalicao conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.90
Match total
7.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.60
Match total
30.10
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.60
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%43.1%+0.4 pp
Draw30.7%32.1%+1.4 pp
Away26.6%24.8%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS48.0%
Historical average
1.29–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
1-012.7%
2-010.7%
0-010.7%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.11–4.20
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.530.9%
Over 11.523.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches234
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.3%30.4%–42.7% CI
Draw FT44.0%37.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT19.7%15.1%–25.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away41.5%