Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 20:15
12.0246.7%
X3.3328.3%
23.7825.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
DLLLWWDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Chaves
LWLWDDLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.40
Against
7.60
11.00
Total
12.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.00goals per matchChaves conceded1.20Matchup
Chaves attack
0.80goals per matchGil Vicente conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.60
11.00
Match total
12.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.20
Match total
6.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
28.70
Match total
30.10
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches631
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%49.3%+2.6 pp
Draw28.3%26.5%-1.9 pp
Away25.0%24.2%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.48–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.3%
1-112.8%
2-111.1%
2-09.5%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.59–4.32
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=631.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches195
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.5%33.9%–47.5% CI
Draw FT36.4%30.0%–43.4% CI
Away FT23.1%17.7%–29.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away37.4%