Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 18:00
17.9012.0%
X4.4021.5%
21.4266.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
WLWLDLWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWLWLDWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.30
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.40
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.20goals per match
Casa Pia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.40
9.00
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Match total
6.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.20
Match total
26.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.10
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%6.7%-5.3 pp
Draw21.5%17.8%-3.7 pp
Away66.6%75.6%+9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS42.2%

Historical average

0.602.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-222.2%
0-315.6%
0-111.1%
0-28.9%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.445.60
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.542.2%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.513.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away60.0%