Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 18:00
17.9012.0%
X4.4021.5%
21.4266.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Casa Pia
WLWLDLWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWLWLDWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.30
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.40
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Casa Pia attack
1.00goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.00Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.20goals per matchCasa Pia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.40
9.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.20
Match total
26.60
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.10
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%6.7%-5.3 pp
Draw21.5%17.8%-3.7 pp
Away66.6%75.6%+9.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS42.2%
Historical average
0.60–2.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-222.2%
0-315.6%
0-111.1%
0-28.9%
0-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.44–5.60
Average total9.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.542.2%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.513.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away60.0%