Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 15:30
12.2841.5%
X3.2429.2%
23.2429.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
DWWLWWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Maritimo
LDWLDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
6.20
Against
6.20
10.00
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.70goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.90
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.50goals per match
Arouca conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.20
10.00
Match total
12.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.00
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.10
Match total
31.10

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches839
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%40.4%-1.1 pp
Draw29.2%31.7%+2.5 pp
Away29.2%27.9%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.241.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-012.6%
0-010.5%
0-19.4%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.37
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=838.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches292
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.2%26.1%–36.7% CI
Draw FT42.8%37.3%–48.5% CI
Away FT26.0%21.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away43.2%