Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:30
12.5936.5%
X3.0531.0%
22.9132.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
WDDLWDWDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
LDWLLLWDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
11.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.70
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Boavista conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
11.60
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.70
Match total
6.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.20
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.10
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches485
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%32.6%-3.9 pp
Draw31.0%35.7%+4.7 pp
Away32.5%31.8%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.091.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
0-012.4%
1-011.5%
0-110.5%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.33
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=485.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%23.5%–36.9% CI
Draw FT46.6%39.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT23.6%18.0%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.3%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away41.0%