Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 18:00
11.9249.2%
X3.4827.2%
24.0123.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Porto
DWDWDWWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
3.30
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
0.50
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.50
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
0.50
4.00
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
3.30goals per matchPorto conceded0.50Matchup
Porto attack
1.60goals per matchBenfica conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
7.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.30
Match total
30.10
Shots
19.60N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
8.40
On target
4.90
17%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches594
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%48.8%-0.4 pp
Draw27.2%27.6%+0.4 pp
Away23.6%23.6%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.54–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.6%
1-110.9%
2-110.1%
2-09.3%
0-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.55–4.24
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=594.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%31.2%–44.5% CI
Draw FT36.6%30.3%–43.5% CI
Away FT25.7%20.2%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.5%
Away41.6%