Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 18:00
11.9249.2%
X3.4827.2%
24.0123.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Porto
DWDWDWWWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
0.50
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.50
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
0.50
4.00
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

3.30goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Matchup

Porto attack

1.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
7.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
24.30
Match total
30.10

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
8.40
On target
4.90
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches594
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%48.8%-0.4 pp
Draw27.2%27.6%+0.4 pp
Away23.6%23.6%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.540.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.6%
1-110.9%
2-110.1%
2-09.3%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.24
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=594.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%31.2%–44.5% CI
Draw FT36.6%30.3%–43.5% CI
Away FT25.7%20.2%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.5%
Away41.6%