Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:30
13.7525.2%
X3.2728.9%
22.0645.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
DLDWLLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Vizela
LWDWLLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.70
Against
7.40
11.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Vizela conceded1.10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.20goals per match
Santa Clara conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.70
Corners against
7.40
11.40
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.90
Match total
6.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
30.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.90
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.2%29.2%+4.0 pp
Draw28.9%25.7%-3.2 pp
Away45.9%45.1%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS41.6%

Historical average

0.991.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.2%
1-113.3%
1-012.4%
0-09.7%
0-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.184.97
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI
Draw FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Away FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals29.5%
3+ goals6.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away54.5%