Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-03 · 20:15
11.9847.6%
X3.2628.9%
24.0323.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Famalicao
LWWLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Arouca
DDDWLDDLDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Against
7.30
9.30
Total
10.80
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.20goals per matchArouca conceded1.10Matchup
Arouca attack
0.80goals per matchFamalicao conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.30
9.30
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.90
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
30.90
Match total
23.50
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches406
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%47.8%+0.1 pp
Draw28.9%30.8%+1.8 pp
Away23.4%21.4%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS45.1%
Historical average
1.38–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.5%
1-113.1%
0-012.3%
2-19.6%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–3.98
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=406.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.526.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.4%31.0%–46.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%34.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT19.2%13.7%–26.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away35.8%