Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-03 · 20:15
11.9847.6%
X3.2628.9%
24.0323.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LWWLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Arouca
DDDWLDDLDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Against
7.30
9.30
Total
10.80
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
1.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Arouca conceded1.10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.80goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.30
9.30
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.90
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
30.90
Match total
23.50

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches406
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%47.8%+0.1 pp
Draw28.9%30.8%+1.8 pp
Away23.4%21.4%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

1.380.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
1-113.1%
0-012.3%
2-19.6%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.323.98
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=406.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.4%31.0%–46.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%34.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT19.2%13.7%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away35.8%