Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 20:30
11.1582.2%
X7.6312.4%
217.575.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWLWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Portimonense
LLLWLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.70goals per match
Portimonense conceded2.00
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.40goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.20
Match total
4.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
28.60
Match total
25.60

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.20
On target
3.30
18%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.2%95.1%+12.9 pp
Draw12.4%4.9%-7.5 pp
Away5.4%0.0%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS29.3%

Historical average

2.930.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.5%
3-114.6%
3-014.6%
2-012.2%
5-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.972.63
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away13.3%