Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 20:30
11.1582.2%
X7.6312.4%
217.575.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
WWLWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Portimonense
LLLWLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
2.70goals per matchPortimonense conceded2.00Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.40goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.20
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
28.60
Match total
25.60
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.20
On target
3.30
18%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.2%95.1%+12.9 pp
Draw12.4%4.9%-7.5 pp
Away5.4%0.0%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS29.3%
Historical average
2.93–0.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.5%
3-114.6%
3-014.6%
2-012.2%
5-09.8%
Comparable corner averages
7.97–2.63
Average total10.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home93.3%
Away13.3%