Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 18:00
18.8210.7%
X4.9519.0%
21.3470.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LWWWDLLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Benfica
WDWWLWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
0.40
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
7.10N=10
5.90
Against
3.60
9.80
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.40
1.80
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.40
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.60
9.80
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.50
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
28.80
Match total
27.50

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.60
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.7%8.2%-2.5 pp
Draw19.0%14.3%-4.7 pp
Away70.3%77.6%+7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

0.612.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.3%
1-216.3%
0-412.2%
0-38.2%
2-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.356.92
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals38.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away83.3%