Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 18:00
11.9748.0%
X3.4127.7%
23.8824.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
DWWWDLWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LDLLLWLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
9.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.20goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.60
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.80goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
9.20
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.70
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
32.70
Match total
31.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.20
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches686
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%49.6%+1.6 pp
Draw27.7%28.0%+0.3 pp
Away24.3%22.4%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.520.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-012.5%
2-110.6%
2-09.3%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.14
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=686.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.8%–44.7% CI
Draw FT39.4%33.1%–46.1% CI
Away FT22.5%17.4%–28.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away37.6%