Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:30
12.2142.8%
X3.1330.2%
23.5027.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vizela
LWLLWWWDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Casa Pia
WWLWWLLDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
10.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.00goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.50
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.90goals per match
Vizela conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
10.80
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.20
Match total
5.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.50
Match total
28.10

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.00
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches643
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%43.2%+0.5 pp
Draw30.2%32.3%+2.1 pp
Away27.0%24.4%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.290.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-013.1%
0-011.0%
2-010.7%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.21
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=643.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches251
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.3%30.6%–42.4% CI
Draw FT44.2%38.2%–50.4% CI
Away FT19.5%15.1%–24.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away41.0%