Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-31 · 20:15
12.7234.8%
X3.3128.6%
22.5836.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
LDLLWLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
WLLLLWLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.90
Against
5.70
10.70
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.70goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.70
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.30goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.70
10.70
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
31.20
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.80
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches634
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%29.5%-5.3 pp
Draw28.6%28.7%+0.1 pp
Away36.7%41.8%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.121.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-113.9%
1-08.5%
1-28.2%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.89
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=634.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.1%19.7%–31.4% CI
Draw FT36.5%30.3%–43.2% CI
Away FT38.4%32.1%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away59.7%