Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 20:30
12.4039.4%
X3.1130.4%
23.1330.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
WWDDLWDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Famalicao
LLLLDWLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.70
Against
4.90
11.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.30goals per match
Famalicao conceded2.00
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.00goals per match
Boavista conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.90
11.20
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.20
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.20
Match total
33.10

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%40.0%+0.6 pp
Draw30.4%32.6%+2.2 pp
Away30.2%27.5%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.191.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.2%
0-011.5%
0-110.4%
2-110.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.27
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches233
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%24.9%–36.7% CI
Draw FT44.6%38.4%–51.1% CI
Away FT24.9%19.8%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away45.5%