Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 15:30
12.0745.7%
X3.2529.1%
23.7725.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
DWLWLDLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Maritimo
LLDWLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.20
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.00
Against
5.90
8.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
1.60
Total goals
2.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.80goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.90
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.60goals per match
Casa Pia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.90
8.60
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
29.70
Match total
32.10

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches302
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%47.4%+1.6 pp
Draw29.1%26.8%-2.3 pp
Away25.1%25.8%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.380.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.6%
1-111.6%
0-010.3%
0-19.6%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.453.83
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=302.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.532.8%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.5%33.5%–52.0% CI
Draw FT35.8%27.4%–45.3% CI
Away FT21.7%14.9%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals30.2%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away34.0%