Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 20:30
12.1643.9%
X3.2729.0%
23.4927.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DLDLLWLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chaves
LLWLWDDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.70
Against
8.20
10.30
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.90goals per match
Chaves conceded1.50
Matchup

Chaves attack

0.60goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.70
Corners against
8.20
10.30
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Match total
6.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
31.10
Match total
28.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches772
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%42.7%-1.1 pp
Draw29.0%31.1%+2.1 pp
Away27.2%26.2%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.361.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-012.6%
2-110.4%
0-08.7%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.34
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=771.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches255
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%32.3%–44.1% CI
Draw FT40.4%34.6%–46.5% CI
Away FT21.6%17.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away42.7%