Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 18:00
11.1780.9%
X7.0413.4%
216.845.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Guimaraes
LLDWLLLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.60
Against
5.70
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

3.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.40
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.70
11.10
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Match total
7.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
23.50
Match total
30.70

Shots

21.20N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
8.50
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.9%88.9%+8.0 pp
Draw13.4%6.3%-7.1 pp
Away5.6%4.8%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS31.7%

Historical average

2.510.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-022.2%
1-014.3%
3-014.3%
2-19.5%
4-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.542.52
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI
Draw FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals36.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.9%
Away26.3%