Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 18:00
12.1144.9%
X3.2928.8%
23.6126.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LDWWLWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LLDLLLWLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.00
Against
5.90
9.40
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.70goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.80
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.90goals per match
Arouca conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.90
9.40
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.80
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
25.70
Match total
31.20

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.50
On target
2.50
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%41.7%-3.2 pp
Draw28.8%32.6%+3.8 pp
Away26.3%25.6%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.331.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.5%
0-010.4%
2-08.5%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.27
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.0%30.5%–44.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%36.9%–50.8% CI
Away FT19.3%14.3%–25.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away40.1%