Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:30
12.8733.0%
X3.2029.6%
22.5437.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
WWLDLLDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Vizela
LLWDWLLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Against
8.50
11.20
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.70
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.80goals per match
Vizela conceded1.30
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.20goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
8.50
11.20
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.80
Match total
6.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
29.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.80
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches496
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%32.5%-0.6 pp
Draw29.6%32.7%+3.0 pp
Away37.3%34.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.141.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-112.7%
0-010.9%
2-110.3%
1-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.89
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=496.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.8%21.7%–34.9% CI
Draw FT45.5%38.3%–52.8% CI
Away FT26.7%20.7%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.9%
Away49.4%