Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 20:15
12.6236.1%
X2.9032.6%
23.0231.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
WDLDWLLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Rio Ave
DDLLWDDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
2.10
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.30
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
2.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.20goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.40Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.70goals per matchSanta Clara conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.50
Match total
29.00
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%36.5%+0.4 pp
Draw32.6%35.5%+2.9 pp
Away31.3%28.1%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.11–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.7%
1-014.3%
0-011.3%
0-110.3%
2-19.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.47–4.26
Average total8.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.7%
Over 9.538.4%
Over 10.525.6%
Over 11.515.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%19.6%–40.6% CI
Draw FT42.0%31.1%–53.8% CI
Away FT29.0%19.6%–40.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.0%
Away39.1%