Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-13 · 20:15
12.1344.2%
X3.1829.6%
23.6026.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WLWWLWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Casa Pia
WWWLWWLLDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
5.70
9.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.40
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.00goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.70
9.50
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.80
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
31.30
Match total
28.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.70
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%41.5%-2.7 pp
Draw29.6%36.5%+6.9 pp
Away26.2%22.1%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.260.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-014.4%
1-013.8%
2-010.0%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.21
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%26.2%–41.3% CI
Draw FT49.0%41.0%–57.0% CI
Away FT17.7%12.4%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals7.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away36.1%