Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 18:00
111.658.1%
X5.9316.0%
21.2575.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
LLLDDWWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Benfica
WWDWWLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
6.90N=10
5.20
Against
4.10
11.80
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.40
2.00
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.40
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.10
11.80
Match total
11.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.00
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
31.30
Match total
28.20

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.80
6%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.1%10.0%+1.9 pp
Draw16.0%15.0%-1.0 pp
Away75.9%75.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

0.802.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.0%
1-315.0%
1-110.0%
0-210.0%
0-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.307.15
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.7%
Away56.5%