Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 15:30
12.4438.8%
X3.2029.6%
22.9931.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rio Ave
WLWWWDLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Gil Vicente
DWLLLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.50
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rio Ave attack
1.20goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.70Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.40goals per matchRio Ave conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
28.40
Match total
25.60
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%39.2%+0.5 pp
Draw29.6%31.2%+1.7 pp
Away31.6%29.5%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS48.0%
Historical average
1.21–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-012.8%
0-010.8%
0-19.4%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.55
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=586.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches206
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.9%–35.2% CI
Draw FT45.6%39.0%–52.5% CI
Away FT25.7%20.2%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.5%
Away45.1%