Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 15:30
12.4438.8%
X3.2029.6%
22.9931.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WLWWWDLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Gil Vicente
DWLLLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.50
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
3.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.70
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
28.40
Match total
25.60

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%39.2%+0.5 pp
Draw29.6%31.2%+1.7 pp
Away31.6%29.5%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.211.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.8%
0-010.8%
0-19.4%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.55
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=586.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches206
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.9%–35.2% CI
Draw FT45.6%39.0%–52.5% CI
Away FT25.7%20.2%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away45.1%