Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 18:00
12.0745.7%
X3.2129.5%
23.8224.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
WDWWWDLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Arouca
WDDDWLDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.60
Against
6.50
9.10
Total
10.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.30goals per matchArouca conceded1.20Matchup
Arouca attack
0.80goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.50
9.10
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
7.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
34.00
Match total
26.00
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%45.3%-0.4 pp
Draw29.5%28.8%-0.7 pp
Away24.8%25.9%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS47.6%
Historical average
1.34–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.2%
1-111.5%
0-011.2%
0-18.2%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–3.87
Average total9.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.524.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%32.4%–50.3% CI
Draw FT39.3%30.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT19.6%13.3%–28.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals26.8%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away28.6%