Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 18:00
12.0745.7%
X3.2129.5%
23.8224.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WDWWWDLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Arouca
WDDDWLDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.60
Against
6.50
9.10
Total
10.20
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.30goals per match
Arouca conceded1.20
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.80goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.50
9.10
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
7.00
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
34.00
Match total
26.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%45.3%-0.4 pp
Draw29.5%28.8%-0.7 pp
Away24.8%25.9%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.340.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
1-111.5%
0-011.2%
0-18.2%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.563.87
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%32.4%–50.3% CI
Draw FT39.3%30.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT19.6%13.3%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.1%
2+ goals26.8%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away28.6%