Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:30
12.4438.8%
X3.1829.8%
23.0231.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Pacos Ferreira
LDLLLDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Santa Clara
LLLWDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.30
1.70
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.40
1.80
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
7.50
Against
5.20
14.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.80goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.00Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.30goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
7.50
Corners against
5.20
14.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
7.00
Match total
7.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
31.60
Match total
29.40
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.30
On target
2.30
5%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches506
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.1%+1.3 pp
Draw29.8%33.2%+3.4 pp
Away31.4%26.7%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.21–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
1-013.0%
0-012.5%
2-19.9%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–4.43
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=506.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%23.6%–36.5% CI
Draw FT48.7%41.6%–55.8% CI
Away FT21.7%16.4%–28.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.7%
Away41.8%