Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:30
12.4438.8%
X3.1829.8%
23.0231.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
LDLLLDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Santa Clara
LLLWDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.30
1.70
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.40
1.80
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
7.50
Against
5.20
14.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.80goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.00
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.30goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
7.50
Corners against
5.20
14.80
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
7.00
Match total
7.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
31.60
Match total
29.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.30
On target
2.30
5%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches506
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.1%+1.3 pp
Draw29.8%33.2%+3.4 pp
Away31.4%26.7%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.211.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-013.0%
0-012.5%
2-19.9%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.43
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=506.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%23.6%–36.5% CI
Draw FT48.7%41.6%–55.8% CI
Away FT21.7%16.4%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away41.8%