Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:30
12.3041.1%
X3.2529.1%
23.1829.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
DDDWDLDWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Portimonense
WLLLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.10
Against
6.20
10.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.20goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.80
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.50goals per match
Chaves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.20
10.80
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.50
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.90
Match total
26.20

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches781
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%40.5%-0.7 pp
Draw29.1%31.5%+2.4 pp
Away29.8%28.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.221.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-012.8%
0-010.5%
0-19.9%
2-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.41
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=780.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.9%25.8%–36.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%37.5%–49.0% CI
Away FT25.9%21.1%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.6%
Away45.0%