Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:30
12.3041.1%
X3.2529.1%
23.1829.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chaves
DDDWDLDWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Portimonense
WLLLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.10
Against
6.20
10.80
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chaves attack
1.20goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.80Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.50goals per matchChaves conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.20
10.80
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
7.50
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.90
Match total
26.20
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches781
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%40.5%-0.7 pp
Draw29.1%31.5%+2.4 pp
Away29.8%28.0%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.22–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-012.8%
0-010.5%
0-19.9%
2-19.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.41
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=780.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.9%25.8%–36.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%37.5%–49.0% CI
Away FT25.9%21.1%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.6%
Away45.0%