Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-10 · 20:15
11.1880.1%
X6.8413.8%
215.596.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWLWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Estoril
WDWDLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.50
0.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.70
Against
7.10
8.80
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.70goals per match
Estoril conceded1.30
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.50goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.10
8.80
Match total
12.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.90
Match total
6.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
28.70
Match total
31.20

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.20
On target
2.80
18%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.1%86.4%+6.3 pp
Draw13.8%8.5%-5.3 pp
Away6.1%5.1%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS27.1%

Historical average

2.360.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.3%
3-018.6%
1-013.6%
2-110.2%
4-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.692.34
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.2%54.9%–89.4% CI
Draw FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals38.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away23.8%