Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-10 · 20:15
11.1880.1%
X6.8413.8%
215.596.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
WWWLWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Estoril
WDWDLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
0.50
0.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.70
Against
7.10
8.80
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
2.70goals per matchEstoril conceded1.30Matchup
Estoril attack
0.50goals per matchPorto conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.10
8.80
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.90
Match total
6.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
28.70
Match total
31.20
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.20
On target
2.80
18%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.1%86.4%+6.3 pp
Draw13.8%8.5%-5.3 pp
Away6.1%5.1%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS27.1%
Historical average
2.36–0.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.3%
3-018.6%
1-013.6%
2-110.2%
4-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.69–2.34
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.2%54.9%–89.4% CI
Draw FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals38.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.2%
Away23.8%