Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-06 · 20:15
12.0446.3%
X3.2229.3%
23.8724.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
WDWLWLDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LLLDLLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.10
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.00
Against
6.30
8.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
1.50
Total goals
2.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.80goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.70
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.80goals per match
Casa Pia conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
10%1/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.30
8.40
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.20
Match total
6.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.70
Match total
31.40

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches332
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%50.3%+4.0 pp
Draw29.3%26.8%-2.5 pp
Away24.4%22.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.430.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.3%
0-011.1%
1-110.8%
2-18.4%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.363.88
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=332.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.533.4%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.2%34.4%–52.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%29.4%–47.1% CI
Away FT18.9%12.7%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals28.8%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away32.4%