Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 18:00
13.0531.0%
X3.0331.2%
22.5037.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
LWDLDWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Guimaraes
WLLDWLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
2.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.90
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.20goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.30Matchup
Guimaraes attack
0.70goals per matchSanta Clara conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.00
Match total
7.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
32.00
Match total
31.20
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%32.0%+1.0 pp
Draw31.2%28.6%-2.6 pp
Away37.8%39.5%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.516.3%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
1.03–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.6%
1-111.6%
0-010.2%
1-010.2%
1-29.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.44–4.63
Average total9.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.7%
Over 9.538.1%
Over 10.527.2%
Over 11.519.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%17.6%–40.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT33.3%22.2%–46.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.3%
Away48.1%