Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 18:00
13.0531.0%
X3.0331.2%
22.5037.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
LWDLDWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Guimaraes
WLLDWLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
2.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.90
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.20goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.30
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.70goals per match
Santa Clara conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.00
Match total
7.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
32.00
Match total
31.20

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%32.0%+1.0 pp
Draw31.2%28.6%-2.6 pp
Away37.8%39.5%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.516.3%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

1.031.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.6%
1-111.6%
0-010.2%
1-010.2%
1-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.444.63
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.7%
Over 9.538.1%
Over 10.527.2%
Over 11.519.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%17.6%–40.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT33.3%22.2%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.3%
Away48.1%