Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 15:30
11.8850.2%
X3.5426.7%
24.0823.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DLDLLLWWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Maritimo
LLLDWLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
10.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
1.90
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.80goals per match
Maritimo conceded2.20
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.60goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
10.80
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.00
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.80
Match total
31.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.00
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches509
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.2%52.1%+1.9 pp
Draw26.7%26.7%+0.1 pp
Away23.1%21.2%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.600.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
1-110.8%
2-110.2%
2-09.2%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.12
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=509.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.9%31.9%–46.5% CI
Draw FT37.7%30.7%–45.3% CI
Away FT23.4%17.6%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away38.3%