Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 20:30
111.018.6%
X5.4417.4%
21.2874.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
LDDDWDLDWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Porto
LWDWDWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.80
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.30
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.10goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Matchup

Porto attack

1.60goals per match
Chaves conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
7.20
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.10
Match total
27.40

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
4.50
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.6%7.3%-1.3 pp
Draw17.4%22.0%+4.5 pp
Away74.0%70.7%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

0.591.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.6%
1-314.6%
1-112.2%
0-212.2%
0-39.8%

Comparable corner averages

2.937.71
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.563.4%
Over 10.553.7%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.4%
Away52.9%