Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 18:00
18.1011.7%
X4.8119.7%
21.3868.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
WWWLDLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWLWLWLDWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.80
Against
3.50
11.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.30
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.30goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.50
11.90
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.80
Match total
7.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
30.30
Match total
27.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.7%7.4%-4.3 pp
Draw19.7%25.0%+5.3 pp
Away68.6%67.6%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

0.812.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.2%
0-113.2%
0-211.8%
1-110.3%
1-47.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.376.59
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away73.7%