Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:30
12.6835.3%
X3.2429.2%
22.6635.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WDLDLLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Vizela
DLLWDWLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.90
Against
8.20
9.80
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.10goals per match
Vizela conceded1.40
Matchup

Vizela attack

1.00goals per match
Estoril conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
8.20
9.80
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.50
Match total
7.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
30.90
Match total
25.20

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.20
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches675
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%31.7%-3.6 pp
Draw29.2%32.7%+3.6 pp
Away35.5%35.6%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.161.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
0-111.4%
0-09.9%
2-19.8%
1-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.90
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=674.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches225
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.2%20.9%–32.3% CI
Draw FT44.4%38.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT29.3%23.8%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away49.8%