Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 21:15
11.1681.6%
X7.4712.7%
216.525.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Famalicao
DLLLLDWLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.70
Against
5.00
11.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

3.10goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.80
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.00goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.00
11.80
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
23.50
Match total
33.00

Shots

22.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
8.40
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.6%94.1%+12.5 pp
Draw12.7%5.9%-6.8 pp
Away5.7%0.0%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS29.4%

Historical average

2.840.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-017.6%
2-015.7%
1-015.7%
3-19.8%
4-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.702.56
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.7%51.2%–88.2% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away15.8%