Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 21:15
11.1681.6%
X7.4712.7%
216.525.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Famalicao
DLLLLDWLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.70
Against
5.00
11.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
3.10goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.80Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.00goals per matchBenfica conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.00
11.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
23.50
Match total
33.00
Shots
22.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
8.40
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.6%94.1%+12.5 pp
Draw12.7%5.9%-6.8 pp
Away5.7%0.0%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS29.4%
Historical average
2.84–0.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-017.6%
2-015.7%
1-015.7%
3-19.8%
4-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
7.70–2.56
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.7%51.2%–88.2% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.2%
Away15.8%